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hoopscage@import url('http://www.blogger.com/css/blog_controls.css');@import url('http://www.blogger.com/dyn-css/authorization.css?targetBlogID=19560698');#navbar-iframe { display:block }skip to main | skip to sidebarhoopscageopinions on the state of the NBAEarly-Season Surprises & DudsBy Chris TaoThe NBA season has started and now you find yourself parked on your couch for three hour intervals at a time. These days, you're barking at the refs through the TV and whining like Shaq about the ball (It won't make you shoot free throws any better). Here are some positives and negatives that have already manifested themselves in the early season:SURPRISEThe new ball - For all the complaining by the players and coaches, there hasn't been a significant drop off in scores. Jeff Van Gundy's teams continue to shoot at horrendous percentages and average no more than 90 points or so per game. Shaq still can't make his free throws. The complaints have largely died down due to the forced adoption by Commander Stern. Complaints about the new ball will go the way of the outcry over the dress code imposed last year.DUDMiami Heat - Dwyane Wade this, Dywane Wade that. Sure, DW3 may have turned into Air Jordan before our eyes during the Finals, but that doesn't mean Wade can win it alone, because that's what he's basically try to do now. Also, Wade is probably very tired from pulling his Jordan impression and then playing in the World Championships two months later. No rest in the offseason means a greater chance of injury and less productivity, even for a superstar like D-Wade. The rest of the team is either very old or very inexperienced. A coach like Pat Riley won't play his young guys much. The other bright spot to this team is Udonis Haslem, who seems to always be doing the little things championship teams need to do in order to win. Shaq is a very creaky 34 years old now and the Glove isn't getting any younger himself.SURPRISEUtah Jazz - It's surprising and refreshing to see a team that had been struggling to make the playoffs with the the best record in the league. But if you look at their player corps, it's really not a surprise at all. Carlos Boozer, seemingly matured before our eyes, has had a renaissance this season. He's enjoying a career year in points and rebounds, averaging over 20 and 10. Most importantly, he's stepped up big while Andrei Kirilenko has been out. Deron Williams give them their first bona fide point guard since John Stockton. Mehmet Okur's terrific play in the paint and Derek Fisher's leadership gives this blue collar group a legitimate shot at making the playoffs.DUDChicago Bulls - The signing of the beast in the East Ben Wallace gave the Chicago faithful some hope that they would overcome Detroit, Cleveland, and Miami as the best team in the East. However, Wallace's presence has proved underwhelming, as have the disappearances of Ben Gordon and Kirk Hinrich. They better shape up if they want a top four seed in the playoffs. Things haven't come together as quickly as the Bulls thought they would.SURPRISEYao Ming - Despite his strong play in the second half of last season before breaking his foot, Yao had been consistently lambasted for his inconsistent play. The Rockets' improved roster this season and last season's forgettable performance have lit a fire beneath the big man and he is responding. He routinely average double-doubles now; they're not of the 12 points-10 rebounds kind anymore, as he torched Shaq with 34 points and 14 rebounds. If T-Mac can snap out of his early-season shooting funk, the Rockets will be a very formidable team come playoff time.DUDShaquille O'Neal - As much as Dwyane Wade carries the load for the Miami Heat, it's difficult to imagine the Heat getting beyond the first round of the playoffs if the big guy isn't playing. Yes, they won the championship last year with a healthy, but aging Shaq. But that was a fluke and believe me, anything less than 15 points and 8 boards from Shaq will not cut it this year. His balky knee and the surgery he just had doesn't help. As for his matchups with Yao Ming, get ready to pass the torch big guy. Yao's ready, but Shaq isn't, as evidenced by his comment: "He's pretty much the same, just big, 7-6," O'Neal said. "He's just doing what he's supposed to do." Shaq, you're not doing what you're supposed to do. Shape up or shove it.Posted byctat2:31 PM0comments The Wild Wild SouthwestBy Chris TaoTalk about a division that chocked full of talent and title-contending teams. The San Antonio Spurs, Dallas Mavericks, Memphis Grizzlies, New Orleans Hornets, and Houston Rockets play in arguably the toughest division in the entire NBA. Although it's unlikely all five of these teams will make the playoffs, the depth of the division makes things interesting when teams are vying for the playoffs. I'll proceed to break it down:San Antonio Spurs - Whose team is it anyway? Does it belong to Tim Duncan or Tony Parker? Does all of that even matter? Like most teams, health will determine the success of the regular season and beyond for the Spurs. They're a perennial title contender, hands down. The real question is: will Duncan, Parker, and Ginobili be healthy enough by season's end to help the Spurs deeper into the playoffs? Coach Popovich should motivate his players to come out and prove the doubters wrong, that the Spurs still have something left to contend for the championship. Francisco Elson brings a capable big body who can rebound and block shots. He'll help keep Duncan fresh for the playoffs and, the Spurs hope, injury-free. Don't forget about Michael Finley and Bruce Bowen. Often forgotten, but never disappeared, Finley should give the Spurs some defense and an ability to make his own shot. Bowen remains the league's premier defender and should guard the likes of Kobe Bryant and Tracy McGrady on a nightly basis.Dallas Mavericks - They might be the best team in the league. With a maturing Jason Terry, a pogostick named Josh Howard, and the uber-Dirk Nowitzki, the Mavericks should contend for another Finals berth this season. Under Avery Johnson's reign, the Mavs are finally playing solid defense in the event Nowitzki has an off-night. Self-proclaimed "league's second best center after Shaq" Erick Dampier should continue to provide a solid inside presence for a team susceptible to slashing inside. Jerry Stackhouse is more than a capable third scorer. The Mav's ensemble of young players should complement the starting lineup quite nicely.Memphis Grizzlies - The Grizz aren't a bad team, but they have had some bad luck. Pau Gasol's injury is a major blow for a team without a great inside presence. Rudy Gay, acquired from Houston in a draft-day deal for Shane Battier, will be thrust into the spotlight quite early and quite often. While he'll have some growing pains, Gay will prove to be an athletic force and actually show up in games, unlike a certain Stromile Swift. Eddie Jones and Mike Miller will have to step up their scoring on the wings. Unless Gasol comes back soon, the Grizzlies are doomed to a lottery year.New Orleans Hornets - This is certainly an interesting squad. Chris Paul is quickly rising up the ranks of the elite point guards in the NBA. He can hold his own against the Steve Nash's and Jason Kidd's of the league. Peja Stojakovic gives the Hornets one of the sweetest three-point strokes in the NBA. With the inside slashing of Paul and Desmond Mason, Stojakovic should be able to capitalize. Marc Jackson and Tyson Chandler should be a formidable frontline, considering the shortage of quality big men in the league.Houston Rockets - Like all the analysts have been saying, the health of Yao Ming and Tracy McGrady will make or break the Rockets' season. If both are injured and don't play more than 65 games together, Van Gundy could be out of a job. But the season looks bright if Yao plays as well as he played in the latter part of last season and T-Mac is being truthful about his balky back. The management should be more worried about T-Mac's health than Yao's, because Yao has been a very durable player in the past, considering how few games he missed before last season's injury-riddled campaign and having to fulfill his Chinese National Team requirements. Bonzi Wells could be the wild card on this team. If he comes close to his production in the playoffs last year, his low-cost signing could be a huge coup. But if he's playing for another contract next year and that's his frame of mind, he may not be the viable third option the Rockets were seeking. Let's not forget what Shane Battier brings to the table as well. In the World Championships, the international community got to see what makes Battier's game so special and so underrated. His presence and influence on the game is undeniable.Posted byctat5:01 PM0comments 2005-2006 Midseason Rookie TeamBy Chris TaoThis rookie class has been marked by the depth and overall talent that it brings to the league. Many of the rookies come from great college programs that were Tourney-worthy and it shows. They have broken into rotations and starting lineups, which have been historically unwelcoming to rookies, especially under regimes run by coaches like Jeff Van Gundy and Larry Brown. Nonetheless, there are real performers in this year's rookie class.Starting LineupG Chris Paul (New Orleans) - Chris Paul is the midseason rookie of the year. The explosive Paul has led New Orleans / Oklahoma City to a respectable start and his teammates already consider him their floor general. He is extremely poised as a rookie, but that can be explained by the terrific Wake Forest squad that he led. He is leading all rookies in minutes (37.1), points (16.4), assists (7.1), steals (2.10), and assist/turnover ratio (ninth in the league).G Nate Robinson (New York) - Historically, height (or lack of) doesn't stop NBA players from being great. Nate is another one of those players. Standing at just 5'9", Robinson has electrified the Garden and has started often, which is impressive for a rookie in Coach Larry Brown's system. Not only is he reminiscent of Earl Boykins offensively, Nate's playing time has been earned by playing tough defense.F Charlie Villanueva (Toronto) - Toronto is in good hands, with Chris Bosh and Charlie Villanueva patrolling the paint for the immediate future. Although he is still coming off the bench, Villanueva is having an impact on the game and continues to contribute down low when the game is on the line.F Sean May (Charlotte) - May is picking up where he left off in the NCAA title game. He has had big scoring games recently and is a scrapper down low. He'll learn more about living life in the paint as the season progresses and that will bode well for Charlotte's future, which already has an anchor in Emeka Okafor.C Channing Frye (New York) - Frye is probably the best player on the Knicks now, which says a lot about his ability. He has averaged 14.6 PPG, 5.9 RPG, and 0.89 BPG, fantastic numbers for a rookie playing under Coach Larry Brown. He has been big down the stretch for the Knicks and, along with Nate Robinson, has re-energized the Garden. His athletic play around the basket is inspiring his teammates and punishing opponents down low.Honorable MentionG Luther Head (Houston) - Head has become a fixture in Coach Jeff Van Gundy's rotation, a remarkable feat for a rookie, especially one that makes his fair share of rookie gaffes. But his three-point shooting prowess (over 50%) and ability to make big shot after big shot make him stand out among this year's rookies and have earned him the trust of his teammates, including Tracy McGrady and Yao Ming.G Deron Williams (Utah) - Filling John Stockton's shoes is a tough role for anyone. Carlos Arroyo did a solid job of it, but if anyone is going to take over for Stockton, it is Illinois guard Deron Williams. He hasn't shot well recently, but has found ways to make an impact on the game.C Andrew Bogut (Milwaukee) - Judging from Bogut's recent play, he would easily be in that rookie starting lineup. However, Milwaukee has been bringing him up slowly, which will probably translate into a better Andrew Bogut. He was recently outplayed by Channing Frye, but don't expect that to become a trend. In a few years, he'll shape up and give any center in the league a handful.Posted byctat10:44 AM16comments Free YaoBy Chris TaoThere was so much hype going into the season about how he was leaner, meaner, and more rested than ever before. There was talk about him having an MVP season. 25 and 12 were some of the numbers thrown around. He had new post moves and put them on full display in preseason games. And then the season came around. A 4-12 start. The praise abruptly turned into criticism about how Yao can't do this and Yao can't do that.It's true that Yao was the scapegoat for what has been the Rockets' poor start. Tracy McGrady has been nursing a jumpy back, but Yao was supposed to take over. Even I bought into that talk about how Yao would take over for McGrady while T-Mac recuperated. It turns out Yao needed McGrady more than ever. The stats are telling – Yao shoots better than 60% from the field when McGrady is on the floor, but only around 40% when he is forced-fed in the post. Yao has been playing much better in the past few days, but he was struggling to carry the load and handle the pressure of bringing the Rockets closer to the title. It was supposed to be Yao and T-Mac together in their run at a ring. But Yao has now been forced to be “the man.” And Yao is slowly learning. There are still haters, but people are starting to see the emotion, force, physicality, and production from Yao – even as he is so heavily scrutinized under the microscope of being Chinese and 7'5”.One thing that I'd like to see more from Yao is creativity. I haven't seen that from him since his rookie year. He was reckless then. He played with abandon. He knew he was a rookie and he was learning everything he could. But Yao is not your prototypical back-it-down center. He was blessed with laser-like vision and unbelievable coordination skills for someone that large. Coincidentally (or not), Rudy Tomjanovich was Yao's coach back then. He let Yao play all over the floor, shoot threes if he desired, and play point center. As far as I saw, Yao was a great point center. He would stand at the top of the key and pick the opposing defense apart. Remember that flick-of-the-wrist pass to Stevie Franchise? Remember how Yao played magician as the ball just disappeared and wound up in Francis' hands? Remember Yao's Shanghai Shake on Jermaine O'Neal, Ron Artest, Jeff Foster, and everyone else on the Pacers' bench? You don't see much of that anymore.These days, Yao is playing like Patrick Ewing. In other words, there is no mobility, dexterity, creativity, or innovation. Run down the floor. Post up. Use your post moves (which Yao has). And shoot a fadeaway or lay it off. That's boring for the NBA and that's the main reason why the Rockets are a team in danger of falling out of playoff contention so early in the season. They are misusing Yao. Yao is so much more than your Ewing-mold center. He brings so much more to the table, in the way of artistry, passing, excitement, scoring, and sheer oohs-and-ahhs. Do you remember the last time Ewing inspired that kind of reaction from fans? Yeah, didn't think so.So Coach Van Gundy, please listen. I implore you to let Yao do his thing. Free him up a little bit. He's much more creative than you think. Instead of letting point guards coming out of the weak side to poke it away while he's posting up, why not just let Yao stand at the top of the key and throw alley oops to Stromile Swift or automatically set a pick for one of the Rockets' capable guards? Let Yao post up whereever he wants. He'll get doubled even if he's 20 feet away from the rim. Have more movement in the offense. Have the guards cut into the lane for easy layups off sweet dimes from Yao. Or Yao could pass to a cutting Swift for a sweet windmill jam. Or even have Yao cut a little bit. Who's going to stop a 7'5” 315-pound behemoth? Be creative. Use Yao to the max. Most of all, just let Yao be himself.Posted byctat5:04 PM0comments the new hoopscageI have decided to come back for another run at it. Hopefully, I can persuade the old hoopscage team to rejoin me in our quest to provide high-quality NBA analysis. Blogger is the perfect medium for our revival. It is a simple and accessible way for the staff to post articles. In the upcoming week, I will re-post all the articles from the archive.Posted byctat2:04 AM1 comments Mile High MeloBy Chris TaoCarmelo Anthony won the Rookie-Sophomore Challenge MVP and put on a good show for the hometown crowd. Anthony shot 13-of-18 en route to 31 points and the MVP honors. Melo has been trashed by analysts and fans this year for his sub-par and worse-than-expected sophomore season. Hopefully, this will propel him forward and back into stardom when he returns to the court. I think he's been brought down by all the expectations. He is without a doubt the leader of the Nuggets franchise and their cornerstone player. Now he has to find a way to maximize K-Mart's contributions and fulfill his dream of being equal to LeBron James.According to Yahoo! Sports analyst Steve Kerr, this All-Star weekend is FOR LeBron James. At 20 years of age, he is already one of the best players in the league and can only improve. But why isn't LBJ in the dunk contest? That's tragic, because he's creative, young, and has hops. But the All-Star game should be exciting with so many fresh new faces and one Gilbert Arenas, who claims that he'll win the All-Star game MVP over guys like Tim Duncan, KG, Shaq, Kobe, and T-Mac. Good luck, Gil.Posted byctat5:53 PM0comments 2003-4 Western Conference PreviewBy Stan Eng(Teams are listed in order of expected finish)Playoff TeamsLA LakersAfter last season's playoff flameout, the Lakers look downright scary with new recruits Gary Payton and Karl Malone in town. Barring chemistry problems and possible legal troubles affecting the status of Kobe Bryant, the Lakers could be unstoppable given Shaquille O'Neal's renewed commitment. When the big man is on, the game is pretty much over.DallasA major contender with last season's breakthrough. Some may think they lucked out with Chris Webber's untimely injury during the Sacramento playoff series, but expectations will be high this year due to an active offseason. They came away with more height and interior toughness in former Warriors Antawn Jamison and Danny Fortson. The cost was sparkplug and clutch performer Nick Van Exel. But their Big Four nearly rivals the Lakers'.SacramentoTheir window of opportunity may have gone by the wayside last year with a hard-fought seven game loss to the Mavericks, but the Kings re-loaded with the pickup of All-Star Brad Miller while shedding underrated hustler Scot Pollard and plastic man Keon Clark. Vlade Divac starts the season 35 years old. If he moves to the bench so Miller can start, it will strengthen already what is known as the best bench in the league. If Chris Webber stays healthy, don't count this team out.San AntonioIt goes without saying that the Spurs will not repeat this season. Rasho Nesterovic was brought in to replace retiring Hall of Famer David Robinson, and with MVP Tim Duncan on the court the Spurs always have a chance. But this team simply does not have the talent level of the other top Western squads. However, that has not stopped them before.MinnesotaDespite not reaching the second round again last postseason, the Wolves gave a fine account of themselves. Kevin Garnett finds his roster overhauled for the better with exciting new additions Sam Cassell, Latrell Sprewell and Michael Olowokandi. The Wolves are poised for their best season yet. Unfortunately for them they play in the West and still may not get out of the first round.HoustonThe Rockets barely missed out on the postseason last year in this ultra-competitive conference, but with another year of seasoning Yao Ming will be playing extra games in May (and perhaps June) under the guidance of new coach Jeff Van Gundy. Pickup Eric Piatkowski can hit the outside shot when defenses double on Yao, and the loss of athletic defender James Posey is somewhat offset by the addition of Adrian Griffin, although the starting SF position becomes a liability.PhoenixThis is a club with a bright future: they gave the champion Spurs a good run in the first round of the playoffs and their top three players (Stephon Marbury, Shawn Marion, Amare Stoudemire) are still in their pre-prime years. Unlike last season, they ought to make the playoffs easily and could surprise one of the top four seeds. However the bench is thin and avoiding injuries is a must.PortlandThe Blazers have an impressive streak of making the postseason, but this may be the year they get shut out. Rasheed Wallace and Bonzi Wells will continue to carry the team scoring load, but there is a lack of quality big men to counter the West's best. Dale Davis will continue to battle it out playing out of position, but we will see more of the promising Zach Randolph.Lottery TeamsMemphisLed by Pau Gasol, this teams is full of youngsters who have shown flashes but have yet to reach their potential. PG Jason Williams and PF Stromile Swift have underachieved but the return of SG Michael Dickerson should stabilize the lineup, which will also prominently feature young guns Shane Battier and Mike Miller. Another year of growing pains lie ahead.LA ClippersA team constantly in flux due to free agent defections actually retained two: Elton Brand and Corey Maggette. But unlike last season, no high expectations will be in place. Which will be a good thing, as we can see the further development of players like Marko Jaric, Chris Wilcox and Quentin Richardson in a pressure-free environment.SeattleThe Sonics look to continue their decline as they start the season without Gary Payton. They are perimeter-oriented (Ray Allen, Rashard Lewis, Vladimir Radmanovic) and in dire need of inside bangers; top draftee Nick Collison can help in that regard. But the lack of a quality point guard and center will mean missing the playoffs once again.DenverOne of the League's worst has slowly taken steps to get better. It starts with the drafting of skilled swingman Carmelo Anthony. Expect him to be a future perennial All-Star. Solid guard play was also acquired in Andre Miller, Earl Boykins and Jon Barry. Combine that with existing big men Marcus Camby and Nene Hilario and the Nuggets look to be more competitive.Golden StateOne of the new exciting teams from last season featured a bunch of young stars in the making, but two of those, namely Gilbert Arenas and Antawn Jamison, took flight for greener pastures. Speedy Claxton was signed and Nick Van Exel was acquired to replace Arenas, but this is a downgrade depending on Van Exel's moods. Veteran Clifford Robinson will have a steadying influence but he turns 37 in December and his contributions will be limited.UtahWith the defections of John Stockton and Karl Malone through retirement and free agency, the Jazz will be out of the playoffs for the first time since forever. Newcomers Raul Lopez and Keon Clark will attempt to fill those huge shoes. But Jazz fans will need to get used to a different kind of era now.PLAYOFF PREDICTIONSFIRST ROUND1 LA Lakers over 8 PortlandNot again... Blazers just beat out the Grizzlies and the Clippers for a quick 1st round exit.2 Dallas over 7 PhoenixBig Four beats Big Three. Defense takes a break until the next round.3 Sacramento over 6 HoustonAn entertaining shootout of a series. Kings have more firepower.5 Minnesota over 4 San AntonioGarnett and company have the desire/hunger and are too much for the defending champs.SECOND ROUND1 LA Lakers over 5 MinnesotaUpset potential looms, but deep playoff experience lies with the Lakers.3 Sacramento over 2 DallasKings make up for last season with a hard-fought series taken to the limit.CONFERENCE FINALS3 Sacramento over 1 LA LakersEveryone will expect LA to just roll over everybody, but the Kings are still a formidable bunch with unfinished business to take care of.FINALSSacramento Kings vs. New Jersey NetsThe Nets are quickly becoming the NBA's version of the Buffalo Bills. Good enough, but not to win it all given the depth of excellent contenders in the other conference. The Kings put it all together with dazzling offensive teamwork and timely defense.Posted byctat12:00 PM0comments Older PostsSubscribe to:Posts (Atom)Blog ArchiveBlog ArchiveNovember (1)September (1)December (3)February (1)September (1)June (4)May (1)April (2)March (2)February (4)January (4)December (5)November (5)October (4)September (1)August (2)June (7)May (5)April (4)March (1)February (2)January (1)December (2)November (3)October (1)September (2)August (2)July (2)June (3)May (3)April (3)March (3)February (3)January (6)November (1)October (1)September (1) _WidgetManager._Init('http://www.blogger.com/rearrange?blogID=19560698', 'http://hoopscage.blogspot.com/','19560698');_WidgetManager._SetPageActionUrl('http://www.blogger.com/display?blogID=19560698', 'vBXLxmdZDkPZmPcHos2sf_PNKS4:1216591875564');_WidgetManager._SetDataContext([{'name': 'blog', 'data': {'title': 'hoopscage', 'pageType': 'index', 'url': 'http://hoopscage.blogspot.com/', 'homepageUrl': 'http://hoopscage.blogspot.com/', 'pageName': '', 'pageTitle': 'hoopscage', 'encoding': 'UTF-8', 'isPrivate': false, 'languageDirection': 'ltr', 'feedLinks': '\74link rel\75\42alternate\42 type\75\42application/atom+xml\42 title\75\42hoopscage - Atom\42 href\75\42http://hoopscage.blogspot.com/feeds/posts/default\42 /\76\n\74link rel\75\42alternate\42 type\75\42application/rss+xml\42 title\75\42hoopscage - RSS\42 href\75\42http://hoopscage.blogspot.com/feeds/posts/default?alt\75rss\42 /\76\n\74link rel\75\42service.post\42 type\75\42application/atom+xml\42 title\75\42hoopscage - Atom\42 href\75\42http://www.blogger.com/feeds/19560698/posts/default\42 /\76\n\74link rel\75\42EditURI\42 type\75\42application/rsd+xml\42 title\75\42RSD\42 href\75\42http://www.blogger.com/rsd.g?blogID\07519560698\42 /\076', 'meTag': '\74link rel\75\42me\42 href\75\42http://www.blogger.com/profile/04897114983547680288\42 /\76\n', 'openIdOpTag': '\74link rel\75\42openid.server\42 href\75\42http://www.blogger.com/openid-server.g\42 /\76\n'}}]);_WidgetManager._SetSystemMarkup({'layout': {'varName': '', 'template': '\74div class\75\47widget-wrap1\47\76\n\74div class\75\47widget-wrap2\47\76\n\74div class\75\47widget-wrap3\47\76\n\74div class\75\47widget-content\47\76\n\74div class\75\47layout-title\47\76\74data:layout-title\76\74/data:layout-title\76\74/div\76\n\74a class\75\47editlink\47 expr:href\75\47data:widget.quickEditUrl\47 expr:onclick\75\47\46quot;return _WidgetManager._PopupConfig(document.getElementById(\\\46quot;\46quot; 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